Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 9.357232e-05 0.000111 0.000129 0.000150 0.000173 0.000198 0.000226
2024-12-29 7.138794e-05 0.000094 0.000119 0.000150 0.000186 0.000226 0.000273
2025-01-05 5.899794e-05 0.000084 0.000113 0.000150 0.000194 0.000244 0.000305
2025-01-12 4.628576e-05 0.000072 0.000103 0.000144 0.000195 0.000255 0.000329
2025-01-19 4.042413e-05 0.000067 0.000101 0.000147 0.000205 0.000274 0.000362
2025-01-26 3.190551e-05 0.000058 0.000092 0.000141 0.000204 0.000280 0.000378
2025-02-02 2.777135e-05 0.000054 0.000090 0.000142 0.000211 0.000297 0.000407
2025-02-09 2.331686e-05 0.000049 0.000086 0.000141 0.000215 0.000308 0.000430
2025-02-16 2.133458e-05 0.000047 0.000087 0.000146 0.000227 0.000330 0.000466
2025-02-23 1.866793e-05 0.000045 0.000085 0.000147 0.000234 0.000345 0.000494
2025-03-02 1.480891e-05 0.000039 0.000079 0.000142 0.000231 0.000347 0.000505
2025-03-09 1.208975e-05 0.000035 0.000075 0.000139 0.000231 0.000354 0.000522
2025-03-16 9.785875e-06 0.000032 0.000072 0.000138 0.000236 0.000367 0.000549
2025-03-23 8.202160e-06 0.000030 0.000070 0.000139 0.000244 0.000385 0.000583
2025-03-30 6.476975e-06 0.000027 0.000067 0.000138 0.000247 0.000397 0.000607
2025-04-06 4.713283e-06 0.000023 0.000062 0.000134 0.000246 0.000402 0.000623
2025-04-13 3.933087e-06 0.000022 0.000061 0.000136 0.000254 0.000420 0.000657
2025-04-20 2.653185e-06 0.000018 0.000056 0.000130 0.000250 0.000421 0.000668
2025-04-27 2.109640e-06 0.000017 0.000055 0.000131 0.000256 0.000437 0.000699
2025-05-04 1.537015e-06 0.000015 0.000053 0.000130 0.000259 0.000447 0.000723
2025-05-11 1.335187e-06 0.000015 0.000054 0.000135 0.000271 0.000471 0.000764
2025-05-18 1.031243e-06 0.000014 0.000053 0.000136 0.000278 0.000487 0.000796
2025-05-25 5.843029e-07 0.000012 0.000049 0.000131 0.000273 0.000487 0.000805